2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds, field: PGA picks, predictions from golf model that’s nailed 10 majors

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The 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am will have one of the most loaded fields of the season. It’s the second of eight signature events on the 2024 PGA Tour schedule, following The Sentry and preceding the Genesis Invitational. All of the PGA’s remaining top-50 players from last year’s FedEx Cup standings are in the field of 80. Two courses, Spyglass Hill and Pebble Beach, will host this no-cut event, with the first tee times coming at 11:45 a.m. ET on Thursday. Amateurs will join in a handicapped better-ball competition on Thursday and Friday, while the pros will be in standard stroke-play competition all weekend.
The 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds list Rory McIlroy as the 15-2 favorite. He’s followed closely by Scottie Scheffler (8-1). Viktor Hovland (12-1), Xander Schauffele (16-1) and Jordan Spieth (18-1) are the other golfers going off lower than 20-1 on the PGA odds board. Before locking in your 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2024 field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2024: McIlroy, a 24-time winner on the PGA Tour and the odds-on favorite this week, struggles and barely cracks the top five. McIlroy has only played the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am once in his career, missing the cut in 2018.
Pebble Beach is a course that demands precision, an area in which McIlroy struggled last season. In fact, McIlroy finished the 2022-23 season ranked 171st in driving accuracy (53.25%) and 79th in greens in regulation percentage (67.88%). He also finished last season ranked outside the top 50 in one-putt percentage (40.80%) and strokes gained: putting (0.164), which doesn’t bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard this week at the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Another surprise: The model is high on Max Homa, a 20-1 longshot. It projects that he’ll finish inside the top 10, gives him a 4.6% chance to win it all and a greater than 50% chance to finish in the top 20.
The 33-year-old American is off to a fast start this season, finishing T-13 at the Farmers Insurance Open and T-14 at The Sentry. He’s only shot one round higher than 70 through those two tournaments. He’s also seen a lot of success in this event, finishing inside the top 15 three times since 2019, making him a golfer to back in Pebble Beach bets. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks
The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 10 golf majors, including last year’s Masters and Open Championship.
2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds, field
See the full AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Rory McIlroy +750
Scottie Scheffler +800
Viktor Hovland +1200
Xander Schauffele +1600
Jordan Spieth +1800
Patrick Cantlay +2000
Max Homa +2000
Collin Morikawa +2200
Ludvig Åberg +2500
Justin Thomas +2500
Tony Finau +3000
Sam Burns +4000
Matt Fitzpatrick +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Cameron Young +4000
Jason Day +4000
Sungjae Im +4000
Tom Kim +4500
Nicolai Højgaard +4500
Byeong Hun An +5500
Russell Henley +6000
Tyrrell Hatton +6000
Hideki Matsuyama +6500
Eric Cole +6500
Beau Hossler +6500
J.T. Poston +7000
Denny McCarthy +7000
Sahith Theegala +8000
Brian Harman +8000
Adam Scott +8000
Keegan Bradley +8000
Justin Rose +8000
Nick Taylor +9000
Corey Conners +9000
Wyndham Clark +9000
Si Woo Kim +10000
Cam Davis +10000
Keith Mitchell +10000
Chris Kirk +11000
Matthieu Pavon +11000
Rickie Fowler +11000
Alex Noren +12000
Tom Hoge +12000
Nick Dunlap +12000
Harris English +12000
Brendon Todd +12000
Sepp Straka +12000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000
Adam Hadwin +12000
Kevin Yu +12000
Stephan Jaeger +12000
Taylor Montgomery +12000
Thomas Detry +15000
Patrick Rodgers +15000
Andrew Putnam +15000
Adam Svensson +17000
Adam Schenk +17000
Lucas Glover +17000
Maverick McNealy +17000
Kurt Kitayama +17000
Emiliano Grillo +17000
Luke List +17000
Mackenzie Hughes +20000
Erik van Rooyen +20000

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