This series answers one question for each team following the Week 4 games (usually looking ahead and ‘what does this mean?’). It uses advanced metrics, analytics, game tape reviews, statistical trends, and myriad other elements. It features a variety of systems, many of which are covered in this primer article and reviewed in greater detail at www.TheFootballScientist.com.
The EPA metrics detailed below are per TruMedia. Other advanced metrics outside of KC’s unique metrics are per TruMedia/PFF or Stathead, unless otherwise noted. Fantasy point totals are in full PPR environments. Roster percentages are per ESPN leagues. Unless otherwise noted, statistical rankings are through the end of the Sunday night games.
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Arizona Cardinals
Will there ever be any upside days in James Conner’s future?
Conner’s fantasy managers cannot be happy with his per game production, as his 10.8 PPG season pace ranks tied for 29th among running backs, and his 8.8 PPG in Weeks 2-4 ranks 33rd. This isn’t due to a lack of scrimmage plays, as Conner’s 47 touches place him tied for 22nd at RB.
That volume should net much larger returns over the next few weeks, as Conner has three green-rated rush defense matchups in Weeks 6-9.