Brooks Koepka was a longshot entering the Masters, but he put together another impressive performance at a major tournament before coming up short during the final round. His health did not seem to be a major concern, making him an intriguing golfer to target in the 2023 PGA Championship field. He is 19-1 in the 2023 PGA Championship odds at Caesars Sportsbook, putting him sixth on the PGA odds board. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler are the 15-2 co-favorites, while Rory McIlroy is 12-1. The PGA Championship 2023 begins on Thursday, May 18 from Oak Hill Country Club.
Other 2023 PGA Championship contenders include Justin Thomas (16-1) and Jordan Spieth (18-1). Which golfers should you include in your 2023 PGA Championship bets? Before locking in your 2023 PGA Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,400 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner.
In addition, the model included Nick Hardy and Davis Riley in its best bets to win the 2023 Zurich Classic. That bet hit at +4500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned over $1,100. McClure’s best bets also included J.T. Poston winning outright at the 2022 John Deere Classic, even though he was listed as a massive 55-1 longshot.
This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 PGA Championship is approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2023 PGA Championship predictions for Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm
One shocker the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2023: Three-time major champion Jordan Spieth, who finished second in the 2015 PGA Championship and is one win away from a career grand slam, stumbles and barely cracks the top 10. He’s one of the top favorites, making him a poor value for your 2023 PGA Championship bets at 18-1. He’s also a golfer to consider fading in 2023 PGA Championship props and head-to-head matchups, according to the model.
Spieth has been overvalued since his win at the 2017 Open Championship, winning just twice on the PGA Tour since then. He missed the cut at the Wells Fargo Championship during the first tournament of May, shooting 7-over-par. Spieth also missed the cut at the Sony Open and Genesis Invitational earlier this year. His inconsistency and short odds make him a golfer to avoid at the PGA Championship.
The model has also come up with a prediction for Rory McIlroy, a four-time major champion. He won the 2012 PGA Championship and the 2014 PGA Championship, becoming one of three players to win four majors by the age of 25. McIlroy added a major championship at the 2014 Open Championship, but he is nearly a decade removed from his last major title.
The 34-year-old has spent over 100 weeks atop the Official World Golf Ranking during his career and is currently in the top five. He won the CJ Cup to open the 2022-23 season and has added a pair of top-three finishes since then. However, McIlroy has finished outside the top 25 in his other five tournaments, putting him outside the top 10 of the FedEx Cup standings.
On the other hand, the model has also examined Jon Rahm’s chances to win his second major championship of the season. He is trying to keep his calendar grand slam hopes alive after winning the Masters in April. Rahm added another impressive showing at the Mexico Open to close out April, finishing second at 21-under-par.
He sits atop the FedEx Cup rankings, winning the Sentry Tournament of Champions, The American Express and Genesis Invitational. Rahm also finished third at the WM Phoenix Open when he shot 14-under-par, so his elite level has been consistent for most of the season. However, he has short golf odds for the PGA Championship and is dealing with the pressure of trying to win another major tournament. See the full PGA Championship projections from the model here.
How to make 2023 PGA Championship picks
The model is targeting four golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s 2023 PGA Championship picks here.
Who will win the 2023 PGA Championship, which longshots will stun the golfing world, and where will Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the latest 2023 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected PGA Championship 2023 leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed nine golf majors, including the Masters.
2023 PGA Championship odds, field
Jon Rahm +750
Scottie Scheffler +750
Rory McIlroy +1200
Justin Thomas +1600
Jordan Spieth +1800
Brooks Koepka +1900
Xander Schauffele +2000
Cameron Smith +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Collin Morikawa +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Dustin Johnson +2500
Tony Finau +2500
Viktor Hovland +2500
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2500
Cameron Young +2500
Max Homa +3000
Jason Day +3000
Joonhyung (Tom) Kim +3500
Bryson DeChambeau +3500
Shane Lowry +3500
Talor Gooch +4000
Sungjae Im +4000
Joaquin Niemann +4000
Sam Burns +4000
Justin Rose +6000
Daniel Berger +6000
Sahith Theegala +6000
Paul Casey +6500
Tyrrell Hatton +6500
Louis Oosthuizen +6500
Corey Conners +6500
Patrick Reed +6500
Tommy Fleetwood +6500
Rickie Fowler +6500
Abraham Ancer +6500
Adam Scott +8000
Webb Simpson +8000
K.H. Lee +8000
Mackenzie Hughes +8000
Mito Pereira +8000
Tom Hoge +8500
Phil Mickelson +8500
Billy Horschel +9000
Keegan Bradley +9000
Aaron Wise +9000
Sergio Garcia +10000
Seamus Power +10000
Davis Riley +10000
Russell Henley +10000
Marc Leishman +10000
Harris English +10000
Si-Woo Kim +10000
Jason Kokrak +10000
Luke List +12500
Bubba Watson +12500
Chris Kirk +12500
Alex Noren +12500
Gary Woodland +12500
Matthew Wolff +12500
Harold Varner +12500
Robert Macintyre +12500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12500
JT Poston +15000
Maverick McNealy +15000
Brian Harman +15000
Matt Kuchar +15000
Cameron Champ +15000
Erik van Rooyen +15000
Kevin Kisner +15000
JJ Spaun +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +15000
Kevin Na +15000
Trey Mullinax +15000
Francesco Molinari +15000
Thomas Pieters +15000
Charl Schwartzel +15000
Sepp Straka +15000
Sebastian Munoz +20000
Lee Westwood +20000
Henrik Stenson +20000
Sam Horsfield +20000
Russell Knox +25000
Ryan Palmer +25000