The PGA Tour’s next event in the 2025 FedEx Cup Fall Series is the 2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship this week. The first round tees off Thursday at the Port Royal Golf Course Southampton, Bermuda. Below, we look at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
The defending champ is Rafael Campos, who collected his first and only PGA Tour career victory here last year. The 37-year-old pro, who played his college golf at Virginia Commonwealth University, shot a third-round 9-under 62 enroute a 19-under 265 finish and a payday of $1.242 million. Despite the win, Campos is a big-time long-shot at +25000. Rico Hoey and Thorbjorn Olesen (+2000) are listed as the co-favorites, followed by Kevin Yu and Nico Echevarria (+2200 each), Patrick Rodgers (+2500) and Pierceson Coody (+2800).
Port Royal is 6,828 yards long and plays as a par 71, with 2 Par 5s on the front 9, and one on the back. The fairways, rough and greens are, as you would likely guess, bermuda grass. Winds off the sea are the biggest issue in this event.
The weather forecast for Bermuda is rather interesting. Thursday’s forecast calls for temperatures around 70 degrees with clouds and a 20 percent chance of precipitation, while winds will be blowing at 18-22 MPH. On Friday, the temperatures remain around 70, with mostly cloudy conditions and wins 17-19 MPH. For Saturday, there is a 30 percent chance of showers, with the winds kicking up at 24-27 MPH, and on Sunday, the event wraps up with temperatures around 72 degrees, and winds at 16-18 MPH in the morning, picking up to 20-24 MPH in the afternoon.
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Butterfield Bermuda Championship – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:39 a.m. ET.
Rico Hoey (+2000)
Hoey has been busy on the fall series, playing in Utah 3 weeks ago, Mexico last week, and now Bermuda. He is getting those frequent flyer miles. One of the most important metrics for success at Port Royal is good work in the Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee category, and he ranks third on the PGA Tour with a mark of 0.691 in 73 measured rounds. SG:: Approach is also very important, and he ranks No. 8 in that category, too, posting a mark of 0.657, well above the field average. Like all events, putting is also very important, and that’s the biggest area of concern with Hoey. It hasn’t hurt him lately, as he was T-21 at the World Wide Technology Championship, and he was runner-up at the Bank of Utah Championship. He has finished T-9 or better in 3 of his past 5 events, and he was T-17 in Bermuda in 2024. A HOEY TOP 20 FINAL PLACEMENT (+100) at even money is an attractive play, too.
Sami Valimaki (+3500)
Valimaki is another player to pursue, as he is also sharp in the SG: Approach category. He ranks 18th in Approach across 66 measured rounds. This is his first appearance in Bermuda. He enters this after a tie for second at El Cardonal in Mexico last week, earning in excess of a half-million dollars. The 27-year-old from Nokia, Finland, is a fabulous putter, too, ranking 11th in SG: Putting, and he is a closer in the final round. He has 27.93 putts per round in Round 4 across 15 events on the 2025 PGA Tour season.
Matt Kuchar (+3500)
The 47-year-old is playing well on the fall series, turning in 3 straight finishes of T-18 or better. He posted a 22-under for a T-11 situation at the World Wide Technology Championship last week. He ranks very well in the SG: Around-the-Green category, ranking 24th around 54 measured rounds, but it’s his putter that has been on fire lately. He is 15th in SG: Putting, and that’s going to keep you in the hunt at any event. He isn’t strong on driving distance at this juncture of his career, but at Port Royal, you don’t have to be a banger. A solid special play is TOP 40 FINISH INCLUDING TIES – KEVIN YU, RICO HOEY & MATT KUCHAR (+200) for the chance to double up. Yu, who we haven’t mentioned, is fifth in SG: Off-the-Tee, and 42nd in SG: Approach. However, he struggles a bit on putting, so that’s the concern.
World Wide Championship picks – Contenders
Greyson Sigg (+4500)
Sigg arrives in Bermuda with finishes of T-21 or better in 3 of the past 4 events. He tumbled back to T-46 at El Cardonal last weekend, although he was shooting well through the first 3 rounds before tumbling to a final-round par 72. He has been par or better on all 12 of his measured rounds on the fall series. He ranks 27th in SG: Approach, and he is helped out by a solid 25th ranking in Driving Accuracy Percentage at 66.39% on 958 possible fairways, and he is 28th in Greens In Regulation Percentage (GIR) at 69.81%. SIGG – TOP 40 FINAL PLACEMENT (-125) is also worth a look.
Beau Hossler (+4500)
We’ve been on Hossler in the fall series, mainly because of his work with the steel on the dance floor. He is 36th in SG: Putting (0.261), and he is 21st in Putting Average (1.728). And, quite importantly, he continues to rank No. 1 in Scrambling from 10 yards or less, and he is 19th in Total Driving Efficiency, while checking in No. 6 on the PGA Tour in SG: Around-the-Green across 77 measured rounds.
Doug Ghim (+5500)
The results have been mixed for Ghim, while he has made the cut in each of his past 4 events. He put it together last week at the World Wide Technology Championship, posting a 16-under 272 to finish T-31. He is averaging 73.0 in the final round in the past 3 events, and that’s been holding him back from good results after a strong start to events lately. He ranks 12th in SG: Tee-to-Green and 17th in SG: Approach, and that should help him contend on the island this weekend.
World Wide Championship pick – Long shot
Trevor Cone (+6600)
Cone comes in with a little steam after posting a T-4 at El Cardonal down in Mexico last weekend, good for a 26-under 262. It was a much-needed top-5 finish, as he had been T-44 or worse in 3 of the past 4 events, including a missed cut at the Sanderson Farms Championship. The 32-year-old has a lot of red flags, including a negative net number in SG: Approach, and SG: Putting. But, he does good work off the tee, and you can’t discount the confidence after a huge finish last weekend.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Golfweek:
2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship payout, purse, first-place prize money
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