A Super Bowl-winning coach will square off against a coach making his postseason debut when Doug Pederson and the Jacksonville Jaguars host Brandon Staley and the Los Angeles Chargers in the 2023 Super Wild Card Weekend NFL playoff bracket on Saturday. The 54-year-old Pederson is in his first season with the Jaguars (9-8). In 2017, his second season in Philadelphia, he led the Eagles to a Super Bowl title. The 40-year-old Staley is in his second season with the Chargers (10-7). Last season, the team narrowly missed out on a Wild Card playoff berth. Jaguars vs. Chargers will kick off the NFL playoffs 2023.
Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET. Los Angeles is a 1-point favorite in the latest Chargers vs. Jaguars odds from Caesars Sportsbook while the over/under for total points scored is 47.5. Before you make any Jaguars vs. Chargers picks or NFL playoff predictions, see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Super Wild Card Weekend in the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 161-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 15-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has zeroed in on Chargers vs. Jaguars and locked in another confident against-the-spread pick. You can see it only at SportsLine. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Jaguars vs. Chargers:
Chargers vs. Jaguars spread: Los Angeles -1
Chargers vs. Jaguars over/under: 47.5 points
Chargers vs. Jaguars money line: Los Angeles -120, Jacksonville +100
LAC: Chargers are third in passing offense (269.6 yards per game).
JAX: Foyesade Oluokun leads the league in tackles (184).
Chargers vs. Jaguars picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Chargers can cover
Los Angeles has one of the league’s most versatile offensive weapons, Austin Ekeler. The 5-foot-10, 200-pound running back led the NFL this season with 18 touchdowns (13 rushing and five receiving). He is just the seventh player since 1970 to lead the league in touchdowns scored in consecutive seasons.
In addition, the Chargers’ defense has a sideline-to-sideline playmaker in Derwin James. The 6-foot-2, 215-pound safety had 115 tackles (64 solo), four sacks, two interceptions, five tackles for loss and two forced fumbles this season. He was named AFC Defensive Player of the Month for November after becoming the only defensive back in the last 30 years, and first player in a decade, to have 30 tackles, multiple sacks, an interception and forced fumble in a single November. See which side to back at SportsLine.
Why the Jaguars can cover
Jacksonville enters the game knowing it dominated the Chargers earlier this season. In Week 4 at SoFi Stadium, Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence threw for 262 yards and three touchdowns, while Los Angeles quarterback Justin Herbert turned the ball over two times in a 38-10 Jacksonville victory. The win ended the Jaguars’ 18-game road losing streak.
In addition, Jacksonville has been winning the turnover battle all season. The Jaguars have 27 takeaways, which is tied for fourth in the NFL. They had a league-worst nine takeaways last season. Jacksonville also has 11 takeaways in its last five games. See which side to back at SportsLine.
How to make Chargers vs. Jaguars picks
Now, the model has simulated Jaguars vs. Chargers 10,000 times. The model is leaning Over the total, but its much stronger play is on the spread. One team is covering in almost 60% of simulations. See who it is at SportsLine.
So who wins Chargers vs. Jaguars? And which team covers almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Jaguars vs. Chargers spread you should jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks.