Fantasy Baseball Rankings 2024: Sleepers, breakouts, busts by advanced model that predicted Rodon’s struggles


Spring is quickly approaching, which means it is the perfect time to start preparing for the 2024 MLB season and 2024 Fantasy baseball drafts. Identifying 2024 Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts is the best way to gain an advantage over the competition, especially when there are various injuries and roster changes to account for. A top-down approach means figuring out who the first Fantasy baseball picks should be, with stars like Ronald Acuna Jr., Bobby Witt Jr. and Mookie Betts among the players vying for the top spot.
Making the wrong selection with your first pick could doom your 2024 Fantasy baseball strategy. Which players should you build your 2024 Fantasy baseball lineups around? Before going on the clock in any 2024 Fantasy baseball drafts, be sure to see the Fantasy baseball rankings 2024 and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last season, SportsLine’s Projection Model identified several top Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts, including Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodon. The team at SportsLine was all over Rodon as a Fantasy bust from the start after he signed a six-year, $162 million contract in the offseason. Rodon posted a 27-13 record with a 2.67 ERA and 422 strikeouts over 310 2/3 innings in 2021 and 2022, but the model predicted he’d finish well below his ADP of 76.88. The result: Rodon made only 14 starts and went 3-8 with a 6.85 ERA and anybody who followed SportsLine’s advice avoided a major headache.
Their model is powered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. And that same group is sharing its 2024 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts long before your competition. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple times every day.
Any time more MLB news comes out about trades, signings or Fantasy baseball injuries, the team at SportsLine updates its projections. Go to SportsLine now to see these proven Fantasy baseball cheat sheets.
Top 2024 Fantasy baseball sleepers
One of the 2024 Fantasy baseball sleepers the model is all over: Marlins third baseman Jake Burger. The 27-year-old only had 225 plate appearances in the majors before last season, but he put up huge numbers in his first full season. He finished with 25 home runs in 323 plate appearances for the White Sox before slugging nine more after he was traded to the Marlins.
His batting average jumped from .214 with Chicago to .303 with Miami while drastically reducing his strikeout rate. Burger has undeniable power, finishing sixth in maximum exit velocity among qualified batters last season. His ability to drive in runs at a high rate in the middle of Miami’s lineup is one reason why he is one of the model’s top Fantasy baseball sleepers for 2024. See more Fantasy baseball sleepers at SportsLine.
Top 2024 Fantasy baseball breakouts
One of the 2024 Fantasy baseball breakouts the model is jumping on: Dodgers starting pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The winner of Japan’s equivalent to the Cy Young and the Pacific League MVP in each of the last three seasons, Yamamoto has never thrown a pitch in Major League Baseball, but that didn’t stop the Dodgers from giving him the most lucrative contract for a starting pitcher in MLB history this offseason.
Yamamoto signed a 12-year, $325 million contract to join the Dodgers after they had already shelled out $700 million on Shohei Ohtani, and Yamamoto should be near the top of the rotation from the outset. The 25-year-old sits comfortably at 95 MPH with his fastball and also throws a devastating splitter at 88-91. He also throws a slider and a curveball that both grade out at well above-average and the model ranks him as a top-15 Fantasy baseball SP in his rookie season. See more Fantasy baseball breakouts at SportsLine.
Top 2024 Fantasy baseball busts
As for players to avoid, the model has pinpointed Rockies catcher Elias Diaz as one of its biggest 2024 Fantasy baseball busts. The veteran catcher made his first all-star appearance in his ninth MLB season in 2023 after posting a .763 OPS during the first half of the season. However, he struggled down the stretch of his first season as Colorado’s full-time catcher, with his OPS dropping to .674 after the break.
Diaz’s .324 BABIP last season was 50 points higher than his career average entering the season and his 19.9% flyball rate was his lowest of his last three seasons, meaning he wasn’t taking advantage of the thin air at Coors Field. Now he’s coming off the board towards the end of 2024 Fantasy baseball drafts but the model ranks him behind several catchers who are going undrafted like Travis d’Arnaud, Austin Wells and Jake Rogers. See more Fantasy baseball busts at SportsLine.
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy baseball rankings
SportsLine’s model is also high on a surprising starting pitcher who bounces back in the top 10 of its positional rankings. This player is going outside the top 100 picks but is projected to outperform starters going in the top 35 like Corbin Burnes, Logan Webb and Aaron Nola. This pick could be the difference between winning your league or going home with nothing. You can only see who it is here.
So which 2024 Fantasy baseball busts, breakouts and sleepers should you target or fade in your drafts? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy baseball rankings for every single position, all from the model that called Carlos Rodon’s disappointing season, and find out.


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