Lamar Jackson has a new approach to go with his new contract for the 2023 NFL season. Jackson said he “absolutely” won’t run as much with the Ravens adding new receiver weapons like Odell Beckham Jr. and Zay Flowers. How a trade-off of less rushing but more passing affects Jackson’s Fantasy football stats remains to be seen. But the bigger impact on the 2023 Fantasy football rankings could be on tight end Mark Andrews.
He’s been Jackson’s No. 1 option for years but now has competition for the role. After finishing in the top five in Fantasy points at his position in each of the last five years, could a diminished role lead Andrews to being a 2023 Fantasy football bust? Before setting your 2023 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2023 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel was being dramatically overvalued. Samuel was the sixth receiver coming off the board on average, but the model had him ranked outside the top 10. The result: Samuel followed up a season in which he had 1,770 scrimmage yards and 14 touchdowns by producing just 864 yards and five scores.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as another sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor’s enormous season in 2021. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2023, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2023 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2023 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Raiders receiver Davante Adams. The 30-year-old receiver has been one of the first off draft boards the majority of his career, but he still provides value based on his current projections and 2023 Fantasy football ADP. Adams has totaled more than 1,500 yards and 11 touchdowns in each of his last two seasons.
Adams has averaged at least 83 yards per game each of the last five seasons. He’s earned a significant target share during that span and has made the most of those opportunities. Adams had 100 receptions for 1,516 yards and 11 touchdowns in his first season with the Raiders with two different quarterbacks splitting time. The Raiders don’t have the ideal quarterback situation entering the 2023 season, but Adams has proven the ability to stand out regardless of who is throwing him the rock. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2023 here.
Top 2023 Fantasy football breakouts
The model is also projecting Falcons running back Bijan Robinson as one of its top 2023 Fantasy football breakouts. The No. 8 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft was the first running back and skill position player selected this year. Robinson rushed for 1,580 yards and 18 touchdowns while averaging 6.1 yards per attempt with 19 receptions for 314 yards and two scores last year at Texas.
Robinson features to be the lead back in a Falcons backfield that includes Tyler Allgeier and Cordarrelle Patterson. The two combined to rush for 1,730 yards and 4.9 yards per carry with 11 touchdowns. Robinson has big play potential every time he touches the football and becomes just the fifth running back since 2015 to be selected in the top 10 of the NFL Draft. The last four had strong rookie years as lead running backs and averaged 1,664.5 yards from scrimmage. There’s plenty of reasons to expect the same from Robinson as one of the top 2023 Fantasy football rookies. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2023 here.
Top 2023 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Jets running back Breece Hall as one of its 2023 Fantasy football busts. The 2022 second-rounder appeared to be on his way to winning OROY after he totaled 681 scrimmage yards and five touchdowns thru seven games. But it was that seventh game where he tore his ACL, and the “hope” is that he’ll be ready for Week 1. But when Hall returns, he’ll be joining a Jets offense whose strength now lies in the passing game with Aaron Rodgers’ addition.
With New York relying more on the pass than a year ago, Hall won’t see as many touches as before. Additionally, he’ll have competition in the backfield as the Jets drafted Israel Abanikanda this year, and all he did was lead the NCAA in rushing touchdowns and the ACC in rushing yards a year ago. Hall is the RB7 per 2023 Fantasy football ADP, but the model has him outside the top 10 at the position, giving him high Fantasy football bust 2023 potential. See more Fantasy football busts 2023 here.
How to find proven 2023 Fantasy football football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren’t even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2023 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron Rodgers. You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2023 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2023 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year, and find out.