Diamondbacks third baseman Eugenio Suarez hit five home runs in his first five games of the season, but he has been held hitless in four of his five games since then. He is facing Orioles starter Zach Eflin during the Monday MLB schedule, with first pitch set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Eflin has allowed two home runs in his first two starts of the season. The latest MLB home run odds from FanDuel Sportsbook list Suarez at +470 to hit a long ball on Monday.
Dodgers slugger Shohei Ohtani has three homers this season and is +255 to leave the yard against Washington. Ohtani has the shortest home run odds of any player in the league on Monday, so should you include him in your MLB home run bets? With MLB HR props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB home run parlay picks.
The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 34-19 roll on all top-rated MLB picks on the run line dating back to 2023. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR props on Monday. These three picks can be parlayed for +11699 odds and would pay out $584.95 on a $5 bet.
Christian Walker HR (+470)
Walker got off to a slow start this season with three hits in his first six games, but he has responded with a pair of multi-hit performances in his last three games. He hit his first home run of the season at Minnesota last week, launching a 402-foot bomb off Joe Ryan in the second inning. Walker had 26 homers in 552 plate appearances with Arizona last season, so it is likely only a matter of time before he starts consistently leaving the yard for the Astros. He is 2 of 6 with a home run against Logan Gilbert in his career, and the model has him at +348 to hit a homer on Monday, providing value at this price.
Fernando Tatis Jr. HR (+400)
Tatis was limited to 99 starts last season, but he was still able to rack up 21 home runs and a .276 batting average. While he only has one homer so far this season, he is batting .368 through his first 38 at-bats. He is facing Athletics starter Luis Severino, who allowed 23 home runs last season. Tatis is 1 of 3 in his career against Severino, but that one hit was a homer.