After a down year by his standards in 2024, Pete Alonso bet on himself this offseason. So far, that bet is paying off, as Alonso is slashing .349/.469/.674 to lead the National League in all three categories while hitting nine home runs and driving in 33. The 30-year-old has put himself in a position to land a healthy payday next offseason and he’s also been a fixture of winning MLB home run picks during the first six weeks of the season.
Alonso hit another home run on Monday and has multiple hits in three of his last four games. FanDuel Sportsbook has him listed at +350 in the MLB home run odds on Tuesday in Arizona, but is there enough meat on that bone to his him in your MLB HR picks? With MLB props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB home run picks.
The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 17-11 roll on all top-rated MLB picks since the start of the season. The model has been routinely calling home run props and is up 32.05 units during the last 28 days. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Tuesday. These three picks can also be parlayed for +8108 odds and would pay out $410.41 on a $5 bet at FanDuel.
Kyle Schwarber, Phillies (+350)
For our FanDuel Dinger Tuesday picks and parlays, we’re playing Schwarber at +285 here. However, you can find this line for as high as +350, which is still a value considering that BetMGM and Caesars both have him priced at +240. Schwarber leads the National League with 11 home runs and he’s 3-for-8 with a home run off Rays starter Drew Rasmussen. He’ll also benefit from temperatures in the mid-80s and a gentle breeze forecasted to blow out to right field on Tuesday night.