Aaron Judge’s light-tower power can be almost comical at times, but a short home run counts exactly the same. Judge’s 12th homer of the season was a 341-foot shot on Tuesday night and he’s now tied with Cal Raleigh and Kyle Schwarber for the MLB lead. However, Judge’s home run hot streaks often come at a steep price, as the latest MLB home run odds at Caesars Sportsbook for Wednesday list him at +187 to go yard tonight.
Even with three 50-homer seasons under his belt, that kind of pricing can make it difficult to use Judge in your MLB HR parlays. So where can you find the best Aaron Judge home run odds and who are Wednesday’s best HR values? With MLB props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB home run picks.
The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 10-5 roll on all top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the season. The model has hit at least one MLB home run prop in four of the last five days and is up 33.55 units on its MLB HR picks during the last 29 days. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Tuesday. These three picks can also be parlayed for +21031 odds and would pay out $1056.56 on a $5 bet at BetMGM.
Francisco Lindor, Mets (+500)
The 31-year-old surprisingly hasn’t made an All-Star team since 2019, but he’s been top-10 in MVP voting each of the last three seasons and was the 2024 NL MVP runner-up. Lindor now has five 30-homer seasons to his name after hitting 33 bombs last season and he’s already hit seven homers in 36 games this year, including a three-run homer against the Diamondbacks earlier this series.
While Lindor is a switch-hitter, most of his power this season has come when batting from the left side when facing right-handed pitching. He has six of his seven home runs this season against righties,