Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs will try to continue their recent dominance over the Las Vegas Raiders when they meet on Monday Night Football. The Chiefs (3-1) have won the last three games against the Raiders (1-3), including a 48-9 thrashing in the last meeting on Dec. 12, 2021, and 13 of the last 15. Kansas City is coming off a 41-31 win at Tampa Bay, a week after suffering its only loss of the season at Indianapolis, 20-17. Las Vegas earned its first win of the year last week against Denver, a 32-23 victory. The Chiefs lead the all-time series, 68-53-2.
Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a seven-point favorite in the latest Raiders vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 51.5. Before making any Chiefs vs. Raiders picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 140-105 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Raiders vs. Chiefs and just locked in its picks and MNF predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Raiders vs. Chiefs:
Raiders vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -7
Raiders vs. Chiefs over-under: 51.5 points
Raiders vs. Chiefs money line: Raiders +270, Chiefs -345
LV: Over has hit in last two Raiders games
KC: Chiefs are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine Monday games
Raiders vs. Chiefs picks: See picks here
Why the Chiefs can cover
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes continues to dominate the opposition, especially when it’s the Raiders. In last week’s win over the Buccaneers, Mahomes passed for 249 yards and three touchdowns and one interception for a 97.7 rating. He has two or more touchdown passes and a 95 or better rating in three of four games this season. In seven career starts against the Raiders, he has 24 touchdowns, including 22 passing, with three interceptions and a 112.4 rating. He will be looking for his third game in a row against Las Vegas with zero interceptions and a 125 or better rating.
Also helping power the offense is running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire. He rushed for a season-high 92 yards and had two touchdowns – one rushing, one receiving – last week. Edwards-Helaire will look for his third game in a row with a rushing TD and has 90-plus yards from scrimmage in two of the past three games. He has been productive on Monday Night Football with 225 yards from scrimmage (112.5 per game) in two career games.
Why the Raiders can cover
Despite that, the Chiefs are not a lock to cover the Raiders vs. Chiefs spread. That’s because Las Vegas has a potent one-two combination in quarterback Derek Carr and wide receiver Davante Adams. Carr passed for 188 yards with no interceptions and rushed for a season-high 40 yards last week against Denver. He has two touchdown passes in three of four games this season. For the year, he has thrown for 1,038 yards and six touchdowns.
Adams led the Raiders with nine catches for 101 yards last week and has a TD catch in three of four games this season. In his last game against Kansas City as a member of the Green Bay Packers, he had six catches in a 13-7 loss on Nov. 7, 2021. Adams will try for his sixth game in a row in primetime and fourth in a row on Monday Night Football with 115 or more receiving yards. For the season, Adams has 26 receptions for 290 yards (11.2 average) and three touchdowns.
How to make Raiders vs. Chiefs picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the point total. In fact, it’s calling for 56 total points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only get the model’s MNF picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Chiefs vs. Raiders on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in nearly 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Raiders spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.