Vikings vs Saints prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2023 NFL picks, Week 10 best bets from proven model

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The Minnesota Vikings (5-4) have won four straight games and transformed themselves into an NFC playoff contender. This week they host the New Orleans Saints (5-4) in a key Week 10 matchup on Sunday. The Vikings enter off a last second 31-28 win at Atlanta, while New Orleans held off Chicago, 24-17 last Sunday. Minnesota won this matchup in 2022, a 28-25 road victory. The Vikings are 5-3-1 against the spread, while the Saints are 2-6-1 ATS In 2023. Minnesota receiver Justin Jefferson (hamstring) is listed as questionable.
Kickoff from U.S. Bank Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. New Orleans is a 3-point favorite in the Saints vs. Vikings odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 41. Before making any Vikings vs. Saints picks of your own, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-123 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It also is on a 28-15 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Saints vs. Vikings and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 10 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Vikings vs. Saints:
Vikings vs. Saints spread: Saints -3
Vikings vs. Saints over/under: 41 points
Vikings vs. Saints money line: Saints -152, Vikings +128
Vikings vs. Saints picks: See picks at SportsLine
Vikings vs. Saints live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Saints can cover
New Orleans enters Sunday’s matchup with momentum after having won two straight close games over the Colts and Bears. In games quarterback Derek Carr has thrown for multiple touchdowns, the Saints are 3-0. In last Sunday’s victory, Carr completed 25 of 34 passes for 211 yards and two scores with no interceptions.
New Orleans boasts multiple weapons on offense including running back Alvin Kamara and wide receivers Chris Olave, Michael Thomas, and Rashid Shaheed. Olave leads the team with 50 receptions for 563 yards, though the big playmaker Shaheed has 501 receiving and is averaging nearly 20 yards per catch. Kamara, despite missing three games due to a suspension, trails Olave by only seven receptions as he’s Carr’s preferred check-down option. New Orleans’ passing game will have to be in sync once again to stop the momentum of Minnesota’s defense. See which team to pick here.
Why the Vikings can cover
Despite taking no snaps with the team in practice after being acquired from Arizona early last week, quarterback Josh Dobbs proved to be the hero in Sunday’s win over Atlanta. In relief of injured rookie Jaren Hall, Dobbs threw for 158 yards and two scores, while rushing for 66 yards and a touchdown on seven carries. With a full week of practice under his belt, Dobbs should have more control over the playbook and it’s possible that the Vikings might be even more successful offensively this week.
In the absence of Jefferson, tight end T.J. Hockenson has garnered at least eight targets in every game and recorded 50 or more yards receiving in each. Against Atlanta, Hockenson caught seven of 12 targets for 69 yards. Averaging nearly 61 yards per game this season, he is on pace to far exceed his career high in yardage (723) from 2020 as a member of the Lions. See which team to pick here.
How to make Saints vs. Vikings picks
The model has simulated Vikings vs. Saints 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the model’s Vikings vs. Saints pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Vikings vs. Saints, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Vikings vs. Saints spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 174-123 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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