Hero World Challenge prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

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Albany Golf Course in the Bahamas will host Tiger Woods’ Hero World Challenge this week. The first round begins on Thursday morning as the field of 20 players compete through the weekend. Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the 2025 Hero World Challenge from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
The headliner of this tournament is the 2-time defending champion, Scottie Scheffler. He’s trying to make history by winning it for the third straight year, and he’ll be competing with the likes of Cameron Young, Robert MacIntyre, J.J. Spaun and Aaron Rai. Wyndham Clark has the longest odds of any player in the field at +5000.
Albany Golf Course features a unique layout with 5 par 3s and 5 par 5s, yielding some impressively low scores each year. Scheffler won at 25-under par last year, matching the score of Bubba Watson in 2015 for the lowest since the tournament moved to Albany.
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Hero World Challenge – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:13 p.m. ET.
Cameron Young (+120)
Young had a third-place finish at this event along with a 13th and 15th in his last 3 starts. He was one of the hottest players in the world this fall and could keep that going this week in the Bahamas where he’s played well before.
PGA: Hero World Challenge odds, picks, predictions
Keegan Bradley (+175)
Bradley is always a player to watch on a course where iron play is important, especially with 5 par 3s and scoring opportunities on the 5 par 5s. He notched a top-5 finish here last year and will try to make it back-to-back this week.
Jordan Spieth (+240)
Spieth has longer odds for a top 5 but in his last start at this event, he finished sixth. In a 20-man field, it’s reasonable to think he could come in fifth or better, especially with the lack of star power at the top behind Scheffler.
Hero World Challenge – Top-10 picks
Andrew Novak (-110)
Novak has the second-longest odds to finish top 10 but all that requires is him finishing better than half of the field. At -110 odds, that’s a fair bet. It’s hard to find much value in this market because of the limited field.
Hero World Challenge – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Cameron Young (-105) vs. Robert MacIntyre (-118)
MacIntyre is a world-class player who performs well on links courses, but so is Young – and he’s got a good enough track record to warrant a pick in this matchup.
Keegan Bradley (-110) vs. Hideki Matsuyama (-110)
Matsuyama won here in 2016, but he wasn’t in great form last year and didn’t have the season that Bradley did.
Hero World Challenge – Top American
Cameron Young (+800)
Scheffler is predictably the heavy favorite, but Young is second and a legitimate contender.
Hero World Challenge – First-round leader
Keegan Bradley (+1400)
Look for Bradley, who finished fifth last year, to get off to a good start this week in Albany.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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