After 3 straight weeks of thrilling finishes in the Sunshine State, the PGA Tour wraps up the Florida Swing with the 2026 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort in Palm Harbor, Florida. The first round from the Copperhead Course begins on Thursday morning. Below, we look at Valspar Championship odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
With Scottie Scheffler and many other top players taking the week off, Xander Schauffele comes in as the favorite with pre-tournament odds of +1000. Matt Fitzpatrick, fresh off his close call at TPC Sawgrass, has the second-best odds (+1400), followed by Viktor Hovland (+1600) and Akshay Bhatia (+2000).
The Copperhead Course is a real test for players, with the winning score ranging from 7-under to 17-under since 2010. Hovland is the defending champion, winning last year with a score of 11-under. The course is 7,352 yards long and plays as a par 71. Fairways are lined with trees and there are water hazards lurking throughout the course, ending with the Snake Pit – a daunting finish down the stretch.
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Valspar Championship – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 4:39 p.m. ET.
Brooks Koepka (+2500)
Don’t look now, but Koepka is rounding into form. In the last month, he ranks fourth among all players in the field in SG: tee-to-green (+1.87) and he’s now gaining strokes on the green (+0.25) after struggling badly with his putting to start the year. In his last start here (2022), he finished 12th. This might be the week Koepka gets back in the winners’ circle.
Jacob Bridgeman (+2200)
Bridgeman’s odds continue to shorten as he keeps finishing near the top of leaderboards. He was in contention again at the Players Sunday, finishing fifth at 9-under par. He’s hitting the ball well +1.06 SG: tee-to-green in the last 3 months), but his putting has been outrageously good, gaining 1.52 shots on the field.
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400)
Fitzpatrick nearly stole the Players Championship Sunday but a bogey on 18 cost him a victory. His 1.98 SG: tee-to-green are the most of any player in the field over the last 3 months and though he hasn’t played here in the last 2 years, he finished T-5 in 2022. His current form is as good as anyone’s.
Valspar Championship picks – Contenders
Ryo Hisatsune (+4000)
Hisatsune ranks second in the field in SG: tee-to-green over the last 3 months, showing just how well he’s been striking the ball. It’s his putting that has let him down. After finishes of T-45 and T-33 in his previous 2 starts, Hisatsune tied for 13th at the Players this past week, his fourth top-15 finish in his last 6 starts.
Wyndham Clark (+6000)
The good news for Clark is he hasn’t missed a cut. The bad news is he hasn’t finished better than T-35 since his first start in January (T-13 at The American Express). Still, he ranks 13th in SG: tee-to-green in the last 3 months among players in this week’s field, while simultaneously ranking 106th in putting.
Austin Smotherman (+6000)
Smotherman withdrew from the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2 weeks ago and followed it up with an impressive T-13 at the Players. Among players in this week’s field, he’s third in SG: tee-to-green and has finished 25th and 36th in 2 career starts at Innisbrook.
Valspar Championship picks – Long shots
William Mouw (+8000)
Mouw missed the cut in his tournament debut last year, but he’s in better form now than he was in 2025. He came in sixth at the Cognizant Classic and T-24 at the Players, seemingly hitting his stride heading into Innisbrook.
Lucas Glover (+10000)
Before missing the cut at the Players, Glover tied for 24th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He has a good track record at Innisbrook, finishing T-36, 11th and eighth in his last 3 appearances. He doesn’t have much distance off the tee, but he ranks first in driving accuracy in the last 3 months among players teeing it up this week.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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