NHL playoff watch: Will the Penguins catch the Hurricanes?

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On most days in this space, we’re focusing on a particular game (or a few games) that will impact the wild-card races. But there are certainly some division title contests still in play as the season moves through its final 30 days!
The battle at the top of Wednesday’s card is Dallas Stars-Colorado Avalanche (9:30 p.m. ET, TNT), with the Avs holding a three-point edge and a game in hand.
But shifting East, the team that just beat the mighty Avs 7-2 on Monday still has a shot at the Metropolitan Division crown.
The Pittsburgh Penguins were not expected to be a playoff team in 2025-26; their preseason standings points over/under was 77.5, which a number that they’ve already blown past as they sit in second place in the Metro.
On Wednesday, they square off against the team on top of the division, the Carolina Hurricanes (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+). As is recent tradition, the Canes have been at or near the top of the Metro all season, and hold a seven-point advantage in the standings.
Obviously, the game on Wednesday is a potential “four-point swing” for either team. If Pittsburgh wants to take the division crown, this game and the return match on March 22 against the Canes are basically must-wins given the deficit.
Aside from the two games against the Canes, the Penguins’ remaining schedule includes just four games against current playoff teams, and nine against teams not in a playoff spot. The Hurricanes’ final 13 non-Pittsburgh games include six against current playoff teams, and two against the Columbus Blue Jackets, who are right on the bubble and as hot as anyone right now.
So the window is open… albeitjust. Stathletes projects the Hurricanes’ division title chances at 97.2%, with the Penguins’ at 1.5%. But hey, that’s not zero!
Every team has around 15 games remaining before the regular season concludes April 16, and we’ll help you keep track of it all here on the NHL playoff watch every day. As we traverse the final stretch, we’ll provide details on all the playoff races — along with the teams jockeying for position in the 2026 NHL draft lottery.
Note: Playoff chances are via Stathletes.
Jump ahead:
Current playoff matchups
Today’s schedule
Last night’s scores
Expanded standings
Race for No. 1 pick
Current playoff matchups
Eastern Conference
A1 Buffalo Sabresvs. WC1Boston Bruins
A2 Tampa Bay Lightningvs. A3Montreal Canadiens
M1 Carolina Hurricanes vs. WC2Detroit Red Wings
M2 Pittsburgh Penguinsvs. M3 New York Islanders
Western Conference
C1 Colorado Avalanche vs. WC2 Seattle Kraken
C2 Dallas Stars vs. C3 Minnesota Wild
P1 Anaheim Ducksvs. WC1 Utah Mammoth
P2Edmonton Oilersvs. P3Vegas Golden Knights
Today’s games
Note: All times ET. All games not on TNT or NHL Network are available to stream on ESPN+ (local blackout restrictions apply).
New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers, 7 p.m. (TNT)
Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes, 7 p.m.
Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals, 7:30 p.m.
Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche, 9:30 p.m. (TNT)
St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames, 9:30 p.m.
Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks, 10 p.m.
Last night’s scoreboard
New York Islanders 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Montreal Canadiens 3, Boston Bruins 2 (OT)
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Carolina Hurricanes 1
Minnesota Wild 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (OT)
Nashville Predators 4, Winnipeg Jets 3 (SO)
Edmonton Oilers 5, San Jose Sharks 3
Vancouver Canucks 5, Florida Panthers 2
Buffalo Sabres 2, Vegas Golden Knights 0
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Seattle Kraken 2
Expanded standings
Atlantic Division
Buffalo Sabres
Points: 90
Regulation wins: 35
Playoff position: A1
Games left: 14
Points pace: 108.5
Next game: @ SJ (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 99.5%
Tragic number: N/A
Tampa Bay Lightning
Points: 86
Regulation wins: 32
Playoff position: A2
Games left: 16
Points pace: 106.9
Next game: @ VAN (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 99.8%
Tragic number: N/A
Montreal Canadiens
Points: 84
Regulation wins: 25
Playoff position: A3
Games left: 15
Points pace: 102.8
Next game: @ DET (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 83.3%
Tragic number: N/A
Boston Bruins
Points: 82
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: WC1
Games left: 14
Points pace: 98.9
Next game: vs. WPG (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 68.9%
Tragic number: N/A
Detroit Red Wings
Points: 82
Regulation wins: 26
Playoff position: WC2
Games left: 14
Points pace: 98.9
Next game: vs. MTL (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 41.8%
Tragic number: N/A
Ottawa Senators
Points: 77
Regulation wins: 28
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16
Points pace: 95.7
Next game: @ WSH (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 67.5%
Tragic number: 27
Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: 70
Regulation wins: 21
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 13
Points pace: 83.2
Next game: vs. CAR (Friday)
Playoff chances: 0.1%
Tragic number: 14
Florida Panthers
Points: 69
Regulation wins: 26
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15
Points pace: 84.5
Next game: @ EDM (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 0.1%
Tragic number: 17
Metro Division
Carolina Hurricanes
Points: 90
Regulation wins: 31
Playoff position: M1
Games left: 15
Points pace: 110.2
Next game: vs. PIT (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 99.9%
Tragic number: N/A
Pittsburgh Penguins
Points: 83
Regulation wins: 29
Playoff position: M2
Games left: 15
Points pace: 101.6
Next game: @ CAR (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 86.2%
Tragic number: N/A
New York Islanders
Points: 83
Regulation wins: 25
Playoff position: M3
Games left: 14
Points pace: 100.1
Next game: @ OTT (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 65.9%
Tragic number: N/A
Columbus Blue Jackets
Points: 81
Regulation wins: 24
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15
Points pace: 99.1
Next game: vs. NYR (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 79.4%
Tragic number: 29
Philadelphia Flyers
Points: 74
Regulation wins: 20
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16
Points pace: 91.9
Next game: @ ANA (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 3.7%
Tragic number: 24
Washington Capitals
Points: 74
Regulation wins: 28
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 14
Points pace: 89.2
Next game: vs. OTT (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 3.4%
Tragic number: 20
New Jersey Devils
Points: 70
Regulation wins: 22
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15
Points pace: 85.7
Next game: @ NYR (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 0.7%
Tragic number: 18
New York Rangers
Points: 64
Regulation wins: 19
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15
Points pace: 78.3
Next game: vs. NJ (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 0.1%
Tragic number: 12
Central Division
Colorado Avalanche
Points: 97
Regulation wins: 39
Playoff position: C1
Games left: 16
Points pace: 120.5
Next game: vs. DAL (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 99.9%
Tragic number: N/A
Dallas Stars
Points: 94
Regulation wins: 33
Playoff position: C2
Games left: 15
Points pace: 115.1
Next game: @ COL (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 99.9%
Tragic number: N/A
Minnesota Wild
Points: 90
Regulation wins: 25
Playoff position: C3
Games left: 13
Points pace: 107.0
Next game: vs. CHI (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 99.9%
Tragic number: N/A
Utah Mammoth
Points: 76
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: WC1
Games left: 14
Points pace: 91.7
Next game: @ VGK (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 96%
Tragic number: N/A
Nashville Predators
Points: 69
Regulation wins: 22
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15
Points pace: 84.5
Next game: vs. SEA (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 4%
Tragic number: 28
Winnipeg Jets
Points: 67
Regulation wins: 23
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15
Points pace: 82.0
Next game: @ BOS (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 3.1%
Tragic number: 26
St. Louis Blues
Points: 64
Regulation wins: 24
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15
Points pace: 78.3
Next game: @ CGY (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 2%
Tragic number: 23
Chicago Blackhawks
Points: 62
Regulation wins: 18
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15
Points pace: 75.9
Next game: @ MIN (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 0.1%
Tragic number: 21
Pacific Division
Anaheim Ducks
Points: 77
Regulation wins: 22
Playoff position: P1
Games left: 15
Points pace: 94.2
Next game: vs. PHI (Wednesday)
Playoff chances: 99.2%
Tragic number: N/A
Edmonton Oilers
Points: 77
Regulation wins: 26
Playoff position: P2
Games left: 13
Points pace: 91.5
Next game: vs. FLA (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 91.3%
Tragic number: N/A
Vegas Golden Knights
Points: 76
Regulation wins: 23
Playoff position: P3
Games left: 14
Points pace: 91.7
Next game: vs. UTA (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 99.2%
Tragic number: N/A
Seattle Kraken
Points: 71
Regulation wins: 25
Playoff position: WC2
Games left: 15
Points pace: 86.9
Next game: @ NSH (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 17.3%
Tragic number: N/A
Los Angeles Kings
Points: 71
Regulation wins: 18
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15
Points pace: 86.9
Next game: vs. PHI (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 30.1%
Tragic number: 30
San Jose Sharks
Points: 70
Regulation wins: 20
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16
Points pace: 87.0
Next game: vs. BUF (Thursday)
Playoff chances: 57.8%
Tragic number: 31
Calgary Flames
Points: 59
Regulation wins: 22
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15
Points pace: 72.2
Next game: vs. STL (Wednesday)
Playoff chances:0%
Tragic number: 18
Vancouver Canucks
Points: 50
Regulation wins: 14
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15
Points pace: 61.2
Next game: vs. TB (Thursday)
Playoff chances:0%
Tragic number: 9
Race for the No. 1 pick
The NHL uses a draft lottery to determine the order of the first round, so the team that finishes in last place is not guaranteed the No. 1 selection. As of 2021, a team can move up a maximum of 10 spots if it wins the lottery, so only 11 teams are eligible for the draw for the No. 1 pick. Full details on the process can be found here. Atop draft boards for this summer is Gavin McKenna, a forward for Penn State.
1. Vancouver Canucks
Points: 50
Regulation wins: 14
2. Calgary Flames
Points: 59
Regulation wins: 22
3. Chicago Blackhawks
Points: 62
Regulation wins: 18
4. New York Rangers
Points: 64
Regulation wins: 19
5. St. Louis Blues
Points: 64
Regulation wins: 24
6. Winnipeg Jets
Points: 67
Regulation wins: 23
7. Nashville Predators
Points: 69
Regulation wins: 22
8. Florida Panthers
Points: 69
Regulation wins: 26
9. Toronto Maple Leafs*
Points: 70
Regulation wins: 21
10. New Jersey Devils
Points: 70
Regulation wins: 22
11. San Jose Sharks
Points: 70
Regulation wins: 20
12. Los Angeles Kings
Points: 71
Regulation wins: 18
13. Washington Capitals
Points: 74
Regulation wins: 28
14. Philadelphia Flyers
Points: 74
Regulation wins: 20
15. Ottawa Senators
Points: 77
Regulation wins: 28
16. Columbus Blue Jackets
Points: 81
Regulation wins: 24
*Note: The Maple Leafs’ pick belongs to the Bruins, unless it lands in the top five.
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