Texas Children’s Houston Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

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With the Masters approaching, the PGA Tour is in Texas for 2 straight weeks after wrapping up the Florida Swing Sunday. Things kick off with the 2026 Texas Children’s Houston Open, which begins on Thursday morning from Memorial Park. Below, we look at Texas Children’s Houston Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
Scottie Scheffler is teeing it up in his home state this week and enters as the favorite at +350. Min Woo Lee, the defending champion, is the second-favorite with odds of +1600, followed by Chris Gotterup (+2000) and Jake Knapp (+2200).
Memorial Park is a longer course at 7,475 yards and a par 70, forcing players to pull driver from the bag on most holes. However, it’s fairly wide open and the rough isn’t penalizing, so it’s a course that favors bombers off the tee – as we saw with Lee winning last year. He set the scoring record at 260 last season, finishing 20-under par. In the 5 playings at Memorial Park since 2020, the Houston Open winners have finished between 10-under and 20-under.
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Texas Children’s Houston Open – Expert picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 4:14 p.m. ET.
Min Woo Lee (+1600)
Lee is the defending champ and it’s reasonable to think he could repeat based on his course history and his current form. Among players in the field, he’s second in strokes gained: off the tee and third in SG: tee-to-green in the last 3 months. He won last year despite it being his tournament debut, setting the scoring record at 20-under par. His odds are shorter than usual but he’s still worth taking.
Jake Knapp (+2200)
Kanpp is another bomber who could excel at Memorial Park after a hot start to the year. He finished 27th here last year after missing the cut in his 2024 debut and comes in ranked 13th in SG: tee-to-green in the field in the last 3 months, as well as No. 1 in putting. That’s a dangerous combination at a course where scores will be low.
Marco Penge (+3300)
Penge is No. 1 in SG: off-the-tee this season, using his incredible length to bomb-and-gauge golf courses and give himself short irons and wedges into greens. He’s a great fit for Memorial Park and though it’ll be his tournament debut, he could come out firing and win like Lee did in his first appearance here.
Texas Children’s Houston Open picks – Contenders
Wyndham Clark (+6000)
Clark had been finishing around the middle of the pack before missing the cut last week at the Valspar. Distance off the tee is no problem for him and it shouldn’t be a surprise that he finished fifth here last year and T-16 in 2023.
Keith Mitchell (+5000)
Mitchell has been fantastic off the tee and with his all-around ball striking this season, but the putter has been atrocious. He tied for 18th here last year and ninth in 2023, so his course history is relatively good. And if he can get the putter to start working, he could find himself in contention.
Texas Children’s Houston Open picks – Long shots
Alejandro Tosti (+20000)
Tosti has done very little to elicit confidence at this point in the season, missing 7 straight cuts to start the year before finishing T-30 last week at the Valspar. He now comes to a course where his length can be an advantage. Tosti finished T-2 and T-5 in his only 2 career starts at the Houston Open the last 2 years.
Gary Woodland (+9000)
Woodland found some form at the Valspar Championship last week, finishing T-14 after missing 2 straight cuts. He’s fourth in SG: off-the-tee in the last 3 months among players in this field, so the driver is working.
Aldrich Potgieter (+10000)
A course made for long hitters? Sounds like Potgieter time. He missed the cut in his debut last year, but any time there’s a course with minimal penalty for missed fairways, he’s worth considering.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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