Innisbrook Resort is once again hosting the 2026 Valspar Championship this week as the PGA Tour wraps up its Florida Swing for the year. The first round begins on Thursday morning at the Copperhead Course in West Palm, Florida. Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the Valspar Championship and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
The Valspar Championship features a strong field despite coming after 2 straight signature events, with Xander Schauffele being the headliner with the shortest odds of anyone (+1000). Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400), Viktor Hovland (+1600), Akshay Bhatia (+2000) and Jacob Bridgeman (+2000) are all near the top of the odds board, as well. Hovland is the defending champion after winning with a score of 11-under last year.
The Copperhead Course is a par 71 and plays at 7,352 yards, challenging players with water hazards and tree-lined fairways. It features the Snake Pit, a difficult 3-hole finish that will test contenders down the stretch Sunday afternoon.
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Valspar Championship – Top-5 picks
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:24 p.m. ET.
Matt Fitzpatrick (+280)
Fitzpatrick nearly won the Players Sunday, only to be outdone by Cam Young on the 18th hole. He remains one of the hottest players on tour, notching his fourth top-25 finish in his last 5 starts. He finished T-5 here in 2022 before missing the cut in 2023, but he’s a real threat to win this week.
Valspar Championship: Best outright winners
Jacob Bridgeman (+400)
Bridgeman made his tournament debut in 2024, but missed the cut. He followed it up by coming in third by himself last year, and he’s now playing the best golf of his life. He won the Genesis last month and finished fifth at the players, continuing his hot streak.
Brooks Koepka (+500)
Koepka is gaining some momentum after a slow start to his PGA Tour season, finishing ninth and 13th in his last 2 starts. He tied for 12th at this event the last time he played it in 2022 and now that the putter has gotten going, he should be in contention this weekend.
Valspar Championship – Top-10 picks
Ryo Hisatsune (+320)
Fitzpatrick is the only player in the field gaining more strokes from tee to green than Hisatsune in the last 3 months, which is impressive. It’s translated to 4 top-13 finishes in his last 6 starts, including a sneaky T-13 at the Players this past week.
Wyndham Clark (+500)
Clark has not played very well and he just split with his caddie, so things may start to trend up. He’s still 13th in SG: tee-to-green in the last 3 months, based on players in the field, so if he can learn how to putt, he’ll put himself in position to win once again.
Justin Thomas (+225)
It’s been quite the rollercoaster start to the year for Thomas. He missed the cut at 14-over par at the Arnold Palmer Invitational before tying for eighth at the Players this past week. Now he gets to play a course where he’s finished T-13, T-3, T-10, T-64 and T-2 in his last 5 appearances.
Valspar Championship – Top-20 picks
Austin Smotherman (+200)
Smotherman bounced back after withdrawing from the API 2 weeks ago, finishing T-13 at TPC Sawgrass. He’s third among players in the field in SG: tee-to-green in the last 3 months, evidence of how good his ball-striking has been. He finished 25th and 36th in 2 career starts at the Valspar.
Lucas Glover (+400)
Glover is a longshot again this week but he seems to love the Copperhead Course, finishing T-36, 11th and eighth in his last 3 starts at the Valspar. He’s been deadly accurate off the tee, which will keep him out of trouble at Innisbrook, which is easy to find.
Valspar Championship – Matchups
Suggested play is golfer in bold.
Akshay Bhatia (-105) vs. Viktor Hovland (-118)
As well as Hovland has played here before, Bhatia is scorching hot. Even after winning the Arnold Palmer Invitational, he finished T-13 at the Players – which came after 3 straight top-16 finishes before then. In what’s essentially a toss-up matchup, take the underdog.
Jacob Bridgeman (-135) vs. Patrick Cantlay (+110)
Cantlay is not playing very well right now, missing 2 of 6 cuts this season with nothing better than T-32 since Pebble Beach in February. Bridgeman is trending the very opposite direction. Ride that momentum.
Valspar Championship – Top Asian
Ryo Hisatsune (+225)
Hisatsune, Tom Kim (+550), Rico Hoey (+600) and Sungjae Im (+600) are the top players in this market, but no one is playing better than Ryo right now. Plus, he’s finished T-33 and T-4 in his 2 career starts at the Valspar, making him a strong bet this week.
Valspar Championship – First-round leader
Jacob Bridgeman (+3000)
Bridgeman was 1 of 5 players tied for the first-round lead last year after shooting 67 on Thursday. He’s one of the hottest players on tour right now and could jump out to another lead this week.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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